Americans Are Moving Differently — And It’s Reshaping Commercial Real Estate
Across the United States, Americans are rethinking where they want to live — and these evolving migration patterns are now reshaping the commercial real estate landscape in powerful ways. What was once a westward sprint for opportunity has softened into a more intentional shift driven by affordability, family ties, and lifestyle balance.
A new report from United Van Lines reveals a striking change: instead of chasing expensive, high-growth metros, households are gravitating toward smaller markets where costs are lower, pace is calmer, and space feels abundant. The consequences could be profound for investors, developers, and the professionals guiding both.
Source Spotlight: Inspired by in-depth reporting from Diana Olick’s Property Play newsletter at CNBC. Explore the full story at CNBC.com for extended analysis.
Where Americans Are Headed Now
Oregon claimed the top inbound migration spot in 2025 for the first time ever. Meanwhile, Florida and Texas — once pandemic migration magnets — are leveling out as inflow and outflow finally balance.
Six of the top 10 inbound states sit within the South and South Atlantic regions. West Virginia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Arkansas, Alabama, and Delaware have become standout destinations for those craving affordability without sacrificing lifestyle.
Younger buyers, particularly millennials and Gen Z, are now eyeing New Jersey as a strategic alternative to New York City’s soaring costs. Retirees, however, continue exiting the state, making it the top outbound destination.
What This Means for Commercial Real Estate
Ryan Severino, chief economist at BGO, notes that these patterns present both fresh opportunities and new challenges. As budgets stretch thinner and personal preferences shift, commercial real estate must evolve alongside them.
Affordable housing, modest office parks, and mid- to lower-income retail centers are emerging as the strongest long-term plays. Even industrial needs are being redefined: smaller living spaces mean rising demand for self-storage, and new regional hubs need warehouses scaled for smaller but fast-growing markets.
The overarching theme is caution. Migration, household formation, and population growth are all slowing — suggesting future returns won’t mirror the explosive momentum of the 2010s and early 2020s.
Southern Markets: The Rise and Rebalancing
The South absorbed one of the most aggressive influxes of new residents during the pandemic era. Multifamily developers raced to build, anticipating unstoppable demand. But a historic oversupply in 2024 — the largest in five decades — cooled rents and even spurred reverse migration from some who felt the promise exceeded the reality.
States like Arizona, Nevada, and Florida illustrate this dynamic clearly. Development soared, but many newcomers have since moved on. For investors, this is a reminder: strategy must be rooted in realism, not momentum.
Retail trends echo this shift. Luxury giants like Simon Property Group are tightening focus, while discount grocers and value-driven retailers capture expanding market share.
What This Means for Real Estate Professionals
As migration continues evolving, real estate professionals must stay adaptable, data-driven, and prepared. Smaller markets are stepping into the spotlight, and understanding why people move is becoming just as essential as knowing where they’re going.
For newcomers entering the field — and seasoned pros expanding their skill sets — this level of insight is invaluable. Institutions like Cameron Academy empower agents, brokers, mortgage experts, and other professionals with the knowledge needed to thrive in markets shaped by shifting demographics and economic realignment.
Learn More: For deeper dives into investor behavior and commercial trends, explore Diana Olick’s excellent Property Play newsletter at CNBC.
Americans will always pursue opportunity and lifestyle — but the definition of both is changing fast. For investors and real estate professionals alike, understanding modern migration isn’t optional. It’s the foundation of future success.
More Articles
Getting licensed or staying ahead in your career can be a journey—but it doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Grab your favorite coffee or tea, take a moment to relax, and browse through our articles. Whether you’re just starting out or renewing your expertise, we’ve got tips, insights, and advice to keep you moving forward. Here’s to your success—one sip and one step at a time!
The iad Group, a renowned name in the real estate industry, is making its grand entry into the U.S. market. Originating from Paris, the iad Group has established its presence in numerous countries, and now, it's Florida's turn to experience the iad Group's unique approach to real estate. The iad Group's business model is a blend of human connections and a cloud-based structure. This innovative approach has been the driving force behind the company's success in various countries, and it aims to replicate this success in the U.S. The iad Group's Florida operation, iad Florida, is launching with 18 agents based in the vibrant city of Kissimmee. These agents are ready to spearhead the iad Group's expansion into the U.S., bringing their expertise and passion for real estate to the American market.
In the ever-evolving world of real estate, staying ahead of the competition requires innovative solutions that streamline processes and maximize opportunities. MoxiWorks, a leading real estate technology platform, has recently integrated two powerful tools, MoxiPresent and MoxiConnect, to revolutionize the way agents create presentations, conduct buyer tours, and provide annual property reviews. This integration not only enhances efficiency but also empowers agents to deliver a higher level of service to their clients. Ready to take your real estate career to the next level? Explore the online career education courses offered by Cameron Academy and gain the skills and knowledge you need to thrive in the industry.
The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), along with seven other federal agencies, has recently taken significant steps towards promoting fair housing. The agencies have clarified and enforced Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which prohibits discrimination based on race, color, or national origin. Now, the protection extends to include discrimination based on shared ancestry and ethnicity. A housing-specific fact sheet has been published by HUD in collaboration with other federal agencies. This fact sheet provides guidance on reporting housing discrimination and seeking assistance, serving as a valuable resource for individuals who have experienced discrimination and are seeking justice.
As mortgage rates rise, home sellers are navigating a challenging market landscape, adjusting their prices to attract potential buyers. Increasing mortgage rates present significant challenges for buyers, impacting affordability and decreasing demand for homes. In response, many sellers are reducing their prices. Despite these challenges, the median U.S. home sale price has shown resilience, rising by 3% year over year. As the housing market continues to evolve, it's crucial for both buyers and sellers to stay informed about the latest trends and dynamics.
Non-white homebuyers, particularly Hispanics and Blacks, continue to encounter discrimination during their search for a new home, despite existing legislation aimed at preventing such practices. According to a recent survey conducted by Redfin, 36% of Hispanics and 32% of Blacks reported feeling discriminated against throughout their homebuying journey. The study also highlights that discrimination extends beyond race, with 22% of LGBTQ+ respondents experiencing bias based on their sexual orientation. These findings shed light on the persistence of discrimination in the housing market, challenging the effectiveness of current laws and regulations.
In a startling turn of events, mortgage rates have skyrocketed to their highest level since 2000, causing ripples throughout the housing market. This surge is driven by inflation concerns and the Federal Reserve's plan to taper its bond-buying program. As the economy continues to recover from the pandemic, inflationary pressures are mounting, leading to higher borrowing costs. This article delves into the details of this alarming trend and its potential implications for the housing market.
