Your Weekly CRE Pulse: Shutdown Shockwaves, Office Edges of Recovery, and America’s New STEM Powerhouses

Cre market trends background

The commercial real estate world hasn’t slowed down for a moment—and for professionals across real estate, mortgage, appraisal, and finance, staying plugged into the latest shifts is essential. This week’s roundup blends economic ripples from the federal shutdown, evolving office market realities, fresh insights from Altus Group’s Q3 research, and a national look at the markets being reshaped by STEM‑fueled demand.

Brought to you by the research team at Altus Group, here’s your curated, coffee‑ready breakdown. And if you’re building or upgrading your career in real estate, mortgage, or another licensed profession, Cameron Academy is here to help you earn your credentials with ease and confidence.

Shutdown Aftershocks Hit CRE Hard

The commercial real estate industry is still digging out from the 43‑day federal shutdown—and the backlog is unlike anything the sector has seen before. Bisnow reports that the shutdown cost the U.S. economy roughly $11 billion in lost GDP, with affordable housing developers facing frozen HUD loan processing and delayed voucher approvals. Hospitality wasn’t spared either: hotel operators reported $1.2B in lost revenue.

With another potential shutdown looming early next year and financing costs still rising, CRE leaders are racing to close deals quickly. Read the full Bisnow report.

Chicago’s Loop Sees Values Slip 7.2%

Chicago’s iconic Loop is facing declining commercial property values—down 7.2% in just one year—paired with rising vacancies. Bloomberg highlights that shifting tax burdens forced Chicago homeowners to shoulder an additional $469.4 million in taxes.

Underfunded pensions and weakening commercial valuations are driving the trend. Explore the data.

Ackman: “Now Isn’t the Time to Sell Fannie and Freddie”

Hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman is urging caution as the federal government considers selling its stakes in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Bloomberg reports Ackman’s stance: major steps—including exercising government warrants and relisting the GSEs on the NYSE—must come first.

While the Trump administration is eyeing a public offering as early as late 2025, many experts say the timeline is far too ambitious. Full story here.

STEM Cities Are Supercharging CRE Demand

RCLCO’s latest STEM Job Growth Index confirms what many CRE analysts suspected: STEM hubs are setting the pace for future demand. Austin once again leads the nation, followed by Seattle, Raleigh, Denver, and Boston—with Dallas and Charlotte newly entering the top 10.

STEM employment has grown at twice the pace of non‑STEM jobs since 2019, boosting demand for office, lab, and R&D spaces. View the report.

Office Recovery: A Tale of Two Realities

The Wall Street Journal reports that while a handful of districts in places like New York and San Francisco show true signs of recovery, most U.S. office markets remain stuck. Remote and hybrid work continue reshaping demand—breaking the traditional link between job growth and leasing activity.

With rising CMBS delinquencies and more properties being surrendered to lenders, the market remains fragmented yet full of opportunity, especially with conversion projects gaining momentum. Read the article.

Altus Insights: Q3 2025 CRE Signals Show Momentum

Altus Group’s newly released Q3 2025 Investment and Transactions Quarterly provides a data-rich snapshot of a market quietly building momentum:

45,893 non-distressed property transactions
Up 12.6% quarter‑over‑quarter and 6.8% year‑over‑year

$150.6B in total transaction volume
Up 23.7% QoQ and 25.1% YoY

Median price per square foot
Up 2.9% QoQ and 14.2% YoY

Top performing sectors:
Hospitality (+4.3% QoQ), Multifamily (+3.5% QoQ), Automotive (+19.4% YoY), Other industrial (+18.1% YoY)

View or download the complete report.

Or listen to the Altus CRE Exchange podcast exploring whether this quarter marks the beginning of a CRE turnaround: Listen here.

Looking Ahead

The commercial real estate landscape continues evolving—from shutdown-driven backlogs to STEM-powered markets and a split office recovery. Whether you’re investing, developing, managing, or preparing for your next professional milestone, staying informed is your edge.

And if that next step includes earning or upgrading a real estate, mortgage, or professional license, Cameron Academy is ready with flexible formats, modern curriculum, and a mission to help you grow with confidence.

More Articles

Getting licensed or staying ahead in your career can be a journey—but it doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Grab your favorite coffee or tea, take a moment to relax, and browse through our articles. Whether you’re just starting out or renewing your expertise, we’ve got tips, insights, and advice to keep you moving forward. Here’s to your success—one sip and one step at a time!

Florida’s Home Insurance Market Shows Strong Signs of Recovery in 2026

Florida’s home insurance market is experiencing a wave of optimism as recent litigation reforms lead to fewer lawsuits, stronger insurer stability, and even rate reductions. With companies like Florida Peninsula lowering premiums and 17 new insurers entering the state, real estate, mortgage, and insurance professionals can expect smoother transactions, increased buyer confidence, and a more competitive market environment in the year ahead.

Mortgage Rates Slide to Multi‑Year Lows as 2026 Housing Momentum Accelerates

Mortgage rates have dipped to levels not seen since 2022, with the 30‑year fixed averaging just 6.361% and Freddie Mac reporting an even lower 6.06%. The drop is reshaping buyer affordability, sparking renewed market activity, and creating fresh opportunities for real estate professionals—especially in fast‑moving markets like Florida.

Is 2026 Finally the Breakthrough Year for Homebuyers?

The 2026 housing market is shaping up to be one of the most pivotal in years, with mortgage rates showing slight relief, affordability shifting toward the Midwest and South, and buyers turning to options like ARMs and new‑construction homes. Early signals point to new opportunities for buyers, investors, and real‑estate professionals—especially those ready to navigate a market defined by moderate rate drops, regional affordability gaps, and builder‑driven incentives.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Insider Shake‑Up Raises Questions for Industry Professionals

Ares Commercial Real Estate CEO Bryan Donohoe sold US$107k in shares this week, trimming his stake by 13% and adding to a pattern of insider selling with no insider purchases in the past 12 months. With insider ownership sitting at a modest 1.6%, the activity signals a cautious tone inside the company—something real estate, mortgage, and finance professionals may want to watch as they assess broader market confidence.

Florida’s 2026 Legislative Session Kicks Off With Major Moves for Real Estate, Insurance, and Business Professionals

Florida’s 2026 legislative session is officially underway, launching a wave of high‑impact bills targeting property insurance reform, a proposal to eliminate property taxes, new education attendance requirements, and even an AI Bill of Rights. With over a hundred bills already filed, real estate agents, investors, insurers, educators, and other licensed professionals can expect significant regulatory shifts that may reshape Florida’s housing market, insurance costs, and professional compliance standards.

Warren Buffett’s 2026 Reminder: Conviction Beats Market Predictions

Warren Buffett’s timeless investing wisdom is more relevant than ever in 2026. Despite decades of market change, his core lesson remains the same: long‑term conviction outperforms short‑term prediction. From embracing occasional underperformance to avoiding emotional decisions, Buffett’s philosophy highlights why deep understanding and steady confidence are more valuable than trying to forecast market swings. This mindset isn’t just for investors—it’s a guiding principle for professionals looking to grow their careers with clarity and purpose.