Q3 2024 Down Payments Decline Slightly, Still Near Historic Highs
Down Payments Ease but Remain High
The average down payment fell to 14.5% in Q3 2024 from the historical peak of 14.9% in Q2. This represents a modest decrease but still ranks as the third-highest percentage in recent history. The median down payment amount also dropped slightly to $30,300 from $32,700, reflecting the easing competition in the housing market.
Regional Disparities in Down Payment Trends
Regional differences are evident, with the Northeast states experiencing the most significant increases in down payments, while Southern states are witnessing declines. High-priced metros continue to demand larger down payments, but more affordable regions are seeing the most growth. This disparity highlights the ongoing impact of economic dynamics and buyer behavior across the nation.
The Role of Pandemic-Era Savings
The influence of pandemic-era savings is still felt in the market. During the pandemic, personal savings rates surged, allowing many buyers to afford larger down payments. Although savings rates have since fallen, the accumulated savings continue to support consumer spending and home buying.
Impact of Falling Mortgage Rates
The recent drop in mortgage rates, which began in May and stayed below 7% from June, is expected to further impact down payment trends. As rates continue to fall, potential buyers might hold off in anticipation of even lower rates, or conversely, increased buyer competition could drive down payments upward again.
Primary Residences vs. Investment Properties
Primary residences typically see lower down payments compared to second homes and investment properties, which have down payments nearly double the typical share of primary residences. In dollar terms, down payments for investment and second homes were significantly larger than those for primary residences in Q3 2024.
Future Outlook
As we look ahead, the question remains whether this easing trend will continue or if down payments will climb again due to market conditions. The interplay of mortgage rates, personal savings, and housing market dynamics will continue to shape these trends.
For further insights, explore the Home Purchase Sentiment Index and the Employment Report for October 2024.
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