Rising Tides: The Precarious Allure of Oceanfront Living Amid Climate Change
Despite the stark reality of rising sea levels, which research suggests could impact up to 13 million American homes by 2100, the demand for coastal properties remains robust. According to a recent paper published in Nature Communications, U.S. coastal properties have appreciated faster than those in inland zones, driven by affluent buyers eager for waterfront views.
“Consumers are clearly mindful that…climate change impacts could be within the window of a 30-year mortgage, but their current behavior still implies that to have a view of the ocean is more desirable,” explained Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, to the paper’s authors.
The Outer Banks, a series of low-lying barrier islands, are particularly vulnerable to rising sea levels and coastal erosion. Some areas have recorded sea level rises of up to seven inches in recent years. Following last week’s house collapse, local authorities have taken action, shutting down a stretch of road and urging visitors to remain cautious, as detailed in a National Park Service advisory.
This phenomenon is not isolated to North Carolina. Coastal regions across the U.S. are experiencing more severe storms and heavier rainfall, further eroding shorelines. In Salisbury, Massachusetts, homeowners spent half a million dollars trucking in sand to protect their properties from coastal storms earlier this spring. Similarly, a $16 million mansion in Dana Point, California, teeters on the brink of collapse into the Pacific.
Average sea levels along the American coastline are expected to rise exponentially over the coming decades, threatening the 40% of the population residing in coastal zones, as reported by the NOAA.
The rising threat of coastal flooding and erosion has led to insurance companies retreating inland. In Florida, a state whose highest point is a mere 345 feet above sea level, multiple major insurers have pulled out, causing consumers’ premiums to soar. Nonetheless, Florida home values have surged since the pandemic, with the average home in the southern part of the state reportedly 35% overvalued.
“It’s not a matter of if, but when coastal communities approach complete inundation,” said Duke University economics professor Martin Smith, who co-authored a paper proposing a model for coastal property values. “The question is: Are there more effective ways to manage coastal areas in the next few decades that could smooth this transition?”
As the tide of climate change continues to rise, the juxtaposition of booming coastal property values against the backdrop of environmental peril presents a complex challenge for homeowners, policymakers, and the real estate market alike. The original article from Fortune provides an in-depth exploration of these pressing issues.
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Which mortgage is right for you: fixed or adjustable rate?
The Pros and Cons of Fixed-Rate and Adjustable-Rate Mortgages
Introduction
Buying a home is an exciting time, but it also comes with important decisions to make. One of the most significant decisions is choosing between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). Understanding the differences and weighing the pros and cons of each option can help you make an informed decision that aligns with your financial goals and circumstances.What is a Fixed-Rate Mortgage?
A fixed-rate mortgage is a type of home loan where the interest rate remains the same throughout the entire term of the loan. This means that your monthly mortgage payment will remain constant, providing stability and predictability in your budget.The Benefits of a Fixed-Rate Mortgage
There are several advantages to choosing a fixed-rate mortgage: 1. Consistent Monthly Payments: With a fixed-rate mortgage, your monthly mortgage payment remains the same, which can be beneficial for budgeting and long-term financial planning. You won’t have to worry about fluctuations in interest rates and unexpected increases in your payment. 2. Predictable Total Interest Costs: Since the interest rate is fixed, you can easily calculate the total interest costs over the life of the loan. This allows you to plan and budget accordingly, knowing exactly how much you will pay throughout the loan term. 3. Protection from Rising Interest Rates: If interest rates rise in the future, you’ll be protected if you have a fixed-rate mortgage. Your interest rate and monthly payment will remain the same, regardless of market conditions. 4. Long-Term Stability: If you plan to stay in your home for a long time, a fixed-rate mortgage offers stability and peace of mind. You won’t have to worry about the uncertainty and potential financial strain that comes with adjusting interest rates.What is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)?
An adjustable-rate mortgage, as the name suggests, has an interest rate that can vary over time. The initial interest rate is typically lower than that of a fixed-rate mortgage, but it can adjust periodically, based on certain market indexes.The Benefits of an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage
While an adjustable-rate mortgage may not be suitable for everyone, it does offer some benefits worth considering: 1. Lower Initial Interest Rate: One of the main advantages of an ARM is the lower initial interest rate compared to a fixed-rate mortgage. This can result in lower monthly payments, allowing you to potentially afford a more expensive home or allocate the savings towards other financial goals. 2. Potential for Lower Rates in the Future: If interest rates decrease over time, your adjustable-rate mortgage could adjust downwards, resulting in lower monthly payments. This can save you money in the long run if you plan on staying in your home for a short period or if you believe interest rates may drop. 3. Flexibility: Adjustable-rate mortgages often have an initial fixed-rate period, typically ranging from 3 to 10 years. During this period, your interest rate remains fixed, providing stability while enjoying the benefits of a lower interest rate. This can be advantageous if you plan to sell the property or refinance before the adjustable period begins.The Risks of an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage
While there are potential benefits to an adjustable-rate mortgage, it’s important to consider the risks associated with this type of loan: 1. Uncertain Future Payments: Since the interest rate can fluctuate, your monthly mortgage payment can also change. This uncertainty can make budgeting and financial planning more challenging, especially if your income is fixed and your ability to absorb payment fluctuations is limited. 2. Potential for Higher Rates in the Future: If interest rates rise over time, your adjustable-rate mortgage could also adjust upwards. This means your monthly payments may increase, potentially putting a strain on your budget. 3. Long-Term Stability: If you plan to stay in your home for an extended period, the uncertainty of an adjustable-rate mortgage may not be the most suitable option. Stability and predictability may be more beneficial for your financial well-being in the long run.Which Mortgage is Right for You?
Determining which type of mortgage is right for you depends on several factors, including your financial goals, risk tolerance, and plans for your future: 1. Consider a Fixed-Rate Mortgage If: – You prefer consistency and predictability in your monthly payments. – You plan to stay in your home for a long time. – You want to protect yourself from potential rising interest rates. 2. Consider an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage If: – You plan to sell or refinance before the adjustable period begins. – You believe that interest rates may decrease in the future. – You are comfortable with the uncertainty of potential payment fluctuations.Conclusion
Choosing between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage is an important decision when purchasing a home. Understanding the benefits and risks of each option can help you make an informed choice that aligns with your financial goals and circumstances. Whether you prioritize stability, predictability, or potential savings, weighing your options carefully and seeking professional advice can ensure that you select the mortgage that best fits your needs. Remember, every individual and situation is unique, so take the time to assess your own circumstances before making a final decision.Discover more from Cameron Academy
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