Your Weekly CRE Pulse: Shutdown Shockwaves, Office Edges of Recovery, and America’s New STEM Powerhouses
The commercial real estate world hasn’t slowed down for a moment—and for professionals across real estate, mortgage, appraisal, and finance, staying plugged into the latest shifts is essential. This week’s roundup blends economic ripples from the federal shutdown, evolving office market realities, fresh insights from Altus Group’s Q3 research, and a national look at the markets being reshaped by STEM‑fueled demand.
Brought to you by the research team at Altus Group, here’s your curated, coffee‑ready breakdown. And if you’re building or upgrading your career in real estate, mortgage, or another licensed profession, Cameron Academy is here to help you earn your credentials with ease and confidence.
Shutdown Aftershocks Hit CRE Hard
The commercial real estate industry is still digging out from the 43‑day federal shutdown—and the backlog is unlike anything the sector has seen before. Bisnow reports that the shutdown cost the U.S. economy roughly $11 billion in lost GDP, with affordable housing developers facing frozen HUD loan processing and delayed voucher approvals. Hospitality wasn’t spared either: hotel operators reported $1.2B in lost revenue.
With another potential shutdown looming early next year and financing costs still rising, CRE leaders are racing to close deals quickly.
Read the full Bisnow report.
Chicago’s Loop Sees Values Slip 7.2%
Chicago’s iconic Loop is facing declining commercial property values—down 7.2% in just one year—paired with rising vacancies. Bloomberg highlights that shifting tax burdens forced Chicago homeowners to shoulder an additional $469.4 million in taxes.
Underfunded pensions and weakening commercial valuations are driving the trend.
Explore the data.
Ackman: “Now Isn’t the Time to Sell Fannie and Freddie”
Hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman is urging caution as the federal government considers selling its stakes in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Bloomberg reports Ackman’s stance: major steps—including exercising government warrants and relisting the GSEs on the NYSE—must come first.
While the Trump administration is eyeing a public offering as early as late 2025, many experts say the timeline is far too ambitious.
Full story here.
STEM Cities Are Supercharging CRE Demand
RCLCO’s latest STEM Job Growth Index confirms what many CRE analysts suspected: STEM hubs are setting the pace for future demand. Austin once again leads the nation, followed by Seattle, Raleigh, Denver, and Boston—with Dallas and Charlotte newly entering the top 10.
STEM employment has grown at twice the pace of non‑STEM jobs since 2019, boosting demand for office, lab, and R&D spaces.
View the report.
Office Recovery: A Tale of Two Realities
The Wall Street Journal reports that while a handful of districts in places like New York and San Francisco show true signs of recovery, most U.S. office markets remain stuck. Remote and hybrid work continue reshaping demand—breaking the traditional link between job growth and leasing activity.
With rising CMBS delinquencies and more properties being surrendered to lenders, the market remains fragmented yet full of opportunity, especially with conversion projects gaining momentum.
Read the article.
Altus Insights: Q3 2025 CRE Signals Show Momentum
Altus Group’s newly released Q3 2025 Investment and Transactions Quarterly provides a data-rich snapshot of a market quietly building momentum:
45,893 non-distressed property transactions Up 12.6% quarter‑over‑quarter and 6.8% year‑over‑year
$150.6B in total transaction volume Up 23.7% QoQ and 25.1% YoY
Median price per square foot Up 2.9% QoQ and 14.2% YoY
Top performing sectors:
Hospitality (+4.3% QoQ), Multifamily (+3.5% QoQ), Automotive (+19.4% YoY), Other industrial (+18.1% YoY)
Or listen to the Altus CRE Exchange podcast exploring whether this quarter marks the beginning of a CRE turnaround:
Listen here.
Looking Ahead
The commercial real estate landscape continues evolving—from shutdown-driven backlogs to STEM-powered markets and a split office recovery. Whether you’re investing, developing, managing, or preparing for your next professional milestone, staying informed is your edge.
And if that next step includes earning or upgrading a real estate, mortgage, or professional license, Cameron Academy is ready with flexible formats, modern curriculum, and a mission to help you grow with confidence.
More Articles
Getting licensed or staying ahead in your career can be a journey—but it doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Grab your favorite coffee or tea, take a moment to relax, and browse through our articles. Whether you’re just starting out or renewing your expertise, we’ve got tips, insights, and advice to keep you moving forward. Here’s to your success—one sip and one step at a time!
In a significant business transaction, Old Republic International Corporation has sold its mortgage insurance business to Arch Capital Group Ltd. for a staggering $140 million. This strategic move marks a pivotal moment in the industry and will have far-reaching implications for both companies involved. Old Republic's exit from the mortgage insurance market is part of a strategy to refocus its resources on core business lines. For Arch Capital Group, the acquisition presents a tremendous opportunity for expansion, aiming to strengthen its position in the mortgage insurance market. This development will shape the landscape of the mortgage insurance market and have implications for both companies involved.
Welcome to a new era where home appraisals are completed in minutes, thanks to precise measurements and accurate property sketches. This is made possible by CoreLogic, a leading provider of property data and analytics, through their groundbreaking augmented reality (AR) tool, ScanToSketch. This tool is transforming the home appraisal process and its potential applications in the real estate industry. ScanToSketch leverages the power of Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) technology and augmented reality, enabling appraisers to capture precise measurements and create detailed property sketches in real-time. This advancement not only saves time but also ensures accuracy, revolutionizing the way home appraisals are conducted.
The recent verdict in the Sitzer/Burnett commission lawsuit has left the real estate industry in a state of uncertainty. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) and four major real estate brokerages, accused of inflating commission rates, are facing a $6.2 million judgment. NAR president Tracy Kasper, expressing disappointment at the verdict, plans to appeal the decision. This landmark decision has sent shockwaves through the industry, leaving agents uncertain about the future of their business. Kasper emphasizes the importance of transparency, communication, and staying informed about local regulations. Agents should proactively address any concerns or questions their clients may have about commission rates. It is crucial to provide clear explanations of the value agents bring to the transaction and ensure that clients understand all their choices.
In response to the affordability pressures in the housing market, 54 new homebuyer assistance programs were introduced in the third quarter, bringing the total number of such programs to 2,256. These programs aim to provide support and assistance to homebuyers, particularly those facing challenges in affording a home. The homebuyer assistance programs offer various types of aid, including down payment assistance, closing cost assistance, and low-interest loans. Companies and organizations across the country have introduced these programs to help potential homebuyers overcome financial barriers and achieve their homeownership goals. These programs are available in different states, with some states offering a higher number of programs compared to others.
Better Home & Finance Holding Company, a renowned digital lender based in New York, has recently made a groundbreaking move in the mortgage industry. In partnership with Infosys, a leading information technology consulting company, Better Home & Finance has launched a cutting-edge white-labeled mortgage-as-a-service platform. This innovative platform aims to revolutionize the mortgage process by providing an integrated end-to-end digital solution that streamlines every step of the lending journey. The mortgage-as-a-service platform handles all aspects of the mortgage process, from the initial point of sale to loan origination, underwriting, closing, funding, and investor sale. By leveraging advanced technology and automation, Better Home & Finance's platform reduces origination costs and helps partners navigate the operational volatility caused by the current interest rate environment.
Despite a decline in mortgage origination volume in Q3 2023, UWM Holdings Corporation, the parent company of United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), showcased a robust financial performance. The company reported a net income of $1.6 billion, an increase from $1.5 billion in the previous quarter. This improvement in net income margin is a testament to UWM's resilience and adaptability in a fluctuating market. Even with a decrease in mortgage origination volume, UWM reported an increase in net income. This positive financial performance is attributed to UWM's strategic shift towards higher profitability loans, such as jumbo loans and non-QM loans. By focusing on these higher-margin loans, UWM has been able to maintain strong profitability despite the overall decline in volume.
