Your Weekly CRE Pulse: Shutdown Shockwaves, Office Edges of Recovery, and America’s New STEM Powerhouses
The commercial real estate world hasn’t slowed down for a moment—and for professionals across real estate, mortgage, appraisal, and finance, staying plugged into the latest shifts is essential. This week’s roundup blends economic ripples from the federal shutdown, evolving office market realities, fresh insights from Altus Group’s Q3 research, and a national look at the markets being reshaped by STEM‑fueled demand.
Brought to you by the research team at Altus Group, here’s your curated, coffee‑ready breakdown. And if you’re building or upgrading your career in real estate, mortgage, or another licensed profession, Cameron Academy is here to help you earn your credentials with ease and confidence.
Shutdown Aftershocks Hit CRE Hard
The commercial real estate industry is still digging out from the 43‑day federal shutdown—and the backlog is unlike anything the sector has seen before. Bisnow reports that the shutdown cost the U.S. economy roughly $11 billion in lost GDP, with affordable housing developers facing frozen HUD loan processing and delayed voucher approvals. Hospitality wasn’t spared either: hotel operators reported $1.2B in lost revenue.
With another potential shutdown looming early next year and financing costs still rising, CRE leaders are racing to close deals quickly.
Read the full Bisnow report.
Chicago’s Loop Sees Values Slip 7.2%
Chicago’s iconic Loop is facing declining commercial property values—down 7.2% in just one year—paired with rising vacancies. Bloomberg highlights that shifting tax burdens forced Chicago homeowners to shoulder an additional $469.4 million in taxes.
Underfunded pensions and weakening commercial valuations are driving the trend.
Explore the data.
Ackman: “Now Isn’t the Time to Sell Fannie and Freddie”
Hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman is urging caution as the federal government considers selling its stakes in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Bloomberg reports Ackman’s stance: major steps—including exercising government warrants and relisting the GSEs on the NYSE—must come first.
While the Trump administration is eyeing a public offering as early as late 2025, many experts say the timeline is far too ambitious.
Full story here.
STEM Cities Are Supercharging CRE Demand
RCLCO’s latest STEM Job Growth Index confirms what many CRE analysts suspected: STEM hubs are setting the pace for future demand. Austin once again leads the nation, followed by Seattle, Raleigh, Denver, and Boston—with Dallas and Charlotte newly entering the top 10.
STEM employment has grown at twice the pace of non‑STEM jobs since 2019, boosting demand for office, lab, and R&D spaces.
View the report.
Office Recovery: A Tale of Two Realities
The Wall Street Journal reports that while a handful of districts in places like New York and San Francisco show true signs of recovery, most U.S. office markets remain stuck. Remote and hybrid work continue reshaping demand—breaking the traditional link between job growth and leasing activity.
With rising CMBS delinquencies and more properties being surrendered to lenders, the market remains fragmented yet full of opportunity, especially with conversion projects gaining momentum.
Read the article.
Altus Insights: Q3 2025 CRE Signals Show Momentum
Altus Group’s newly released Q3 2025 Investment and Transactions Quarterly provides a data-rich snapshot of a market quietly building momentum:
45,893 non-distressed property transactions Up 12.6% quarter‑over‑quarter and 6.8% year‑over‑year
$150.6B in total transaction volume Up 23.7% QoQ and 25.1% YoY
Median price per square foot Up 2.9% QoQ and 14.2% YoY
Top performing sectors:
Hospitality (+4.3% QoQ), Multifamily (+3.5% QoQ), Automotive (+19.4% YoY), Other industrial (+18.1% YoY)
Or listen to the Altus CRE Exchange podcast exploring whether this quarter marks the beginning of a CRE turnaround:
Listen here.
Looking Ahead
The commercial real estate landscape continues evolving—from shutdown-driven backlogs to STEM-powered markets and a split office recovery. Whether you’re investing, developing, managing, or preparing for your next professional milestone, staying informed is your edge.
And if that next step includes earning or upgrading a real estate, mortgage, or professional license, Cameron Academy is ready with flexible formats, modern curriculum, and a mission to help you grow with confidence.
More Articles
Getting licensed or staying ahead in your career can be a journey—but it doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Grab your favorite coffee or tea, take a moment to relax, and browse through our articles. Whether you’re just starting out or renewing your expertise, we’ve got tips, insights, and advice to keep you moving forward. Here’s to your success—one sip and one step at a time!
After nearly 20 years under uniquely harsh lending rules, Florida may finally see its condo market freed from a 25% down payment requirement imposed only on the state. Industry leaders say Fannie Mae could announce changes as early as December—potentially restoring the standard 10% down payment used everywhere else in the country. Experts believe the shift would boost maintenance funding, improve affordability, and stabilize Florida’s condo market after years of strain.
Phoenix’s commercial real estate market is shaking off years of uncertainty as broker optimism hits its highest level since interest rates began climbing. The latest ASU Commercial Broker Sentiment Index soared to 62.7, signaling strong confidence across multifamily, retail, office, and capital markets. With population growth accelerating, interest rates easing, and AI boosting industry efficiency, Phoenix is positioning itself for a powerful run into 2026—offering meaningful opportunities for both new and seasoned real estate professionals.
Michigan’s House Rules Committee heard testimony on a proposal that would let licensed professionals complete all required continuing education online. Supporters say the change would modernize outdated rules, reduce costs, and improve access for rural and busy workers. The state licensing department backs the measure, and lawmakers noted it could reshape CE options across industries from real estate to insurance and healthcare.
Florida homeowners are now paying an average of $5,838 per year for insurance — nearly $3,000 above the national average — making it one of the most expensive states in the country. As premiums continue to triple for some residents, many are being forced into tough decisions, from delaying home improvements to dropping coverage altogether. With more than 40% of claims closed with no payment and lawmakers pushing for aggressive reforms, the crisis is reshaping Florida’s housing market and placing growing pressure on real estate, mortgage, and insurance professionals statewide.
Griffin Funding has elevated John Jones to Senior Vice President of Growth and EOS Integrator, marking a major step in the company’s long-term expansion strategy. Already a key operational leader since April 2025, Jones will now drive performance optimization, market expansion, and leadership development as the lender pursues an ambitious goal of reaching $3 billion in annual non-QM loan volume by 2030. His promotion underscores Griffin Funding’s commitment to scaling strategically while strengthening its position in the fast-growing non-QM space.
Despite recent Federal Reserve rate cuts, commercial real estate remains frozen. Long‑term Treasury yields continue to climb, keeping borrowing costs high and preventing the relief investors expected. With nearly $1 trillion in commercial loans coming due, refinancing at today’s elevated rates is squeezing owners, slowing transactions, and creating a widening gap between buyers and sellers. For patient, well‑capitalized investors, this period of recalibration may offer some of the strongest opportunities in years.
